Wassup!?

You’ve probably already seen this, but…. Remember the year 2000? When our biggest worry was the millenium bug and where does Monica Lewinsky get her clothes drycleaned? When the main political news was Al Gore going for Tipper’s tonssils? When “watching the game, having a Bud” was a perferctly legitimate way to spend your time?

Well, thousands of billions of dolars, eight years, two wars, one drowned city, one Wall St. meltdown and one severely failed presidency later, things are just not the same on the other side of the Pond.

True.

Unless of course disaster happens.

McCain Defends Obama As Slovenia Awaits New Parliament

Funny. While John McCain’s campaign is attacking Barack Obama and potraying him as associating with terrorists, John McCain defends his Democratic rival as a decent an honest man. In this BBC video

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(source)

Have the things gone out of control in the Republican campaign, has John McCain finally had it? Or is he simply letting others do the dirty work for him, while he seemingly defends the other guy, if only to reiterate what Republicans think of him?

In any case – we’ll be back in Slovenia tommorrow, as the parliament convenes for its first session and elects its leadership. Stay tuned! 😀

Belgium Explained To Slovenes (And Whoever Else) In Ten Easy Lessons

Some of you might remeber me teasing Dr. Arf about continuation of his legendary series. He promised to do something about it and he delivered a day later. It was me who forgot to publish his post in – well – post-election frenzy. I’m trully sorry.

Here it is, Dr. Arf’s eight installment of Belgium Explained To Slovenes (And Whoever Else) In Ten Easy Lessons!!!

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LESSON VIII : YOUR VERY OWN EU BANANA MONARCHY

A quick recap

When I posted last, we – that is the nation called Belgium – were on the verge of having a government that reflected the results of the national election held on June 10th, 2007. Yves Leterme, being the clear winner, and his christian democratic party CD&V’s kartel with Flemish nationalist party NV-A, up to that point had succeeded in creating a jumble of a government with Flemish and Walloon liberals (the latter sporting their own francophone nationalist kartel partner in FDF and their Maximo Lidér and political pyromaniac Olivier Maingain) and christian democrats (headed by ?Madame Non’ Joëlle Milquet). After some intestinal and political blood letting, Leterme finally succeeded in installing a formed government around Easter. And not much else. Virtually nothing else, actually.

Where are we now?

The obvious question you’re asking yourselves now is “Why?”, possibly followed by “How is this even possible [in a country that is supposed to be a shining example of peaceful coexistence of two cultures within the EU framework]?”. And you’re not wrong if you shake your head to such a blatant display of political unwillingness to actually govern the country when consumer confidence is at an all time low and economy is in serious regress. Sometimes you wish you just had a corrupt PM to deal with instead of this mess…

Remember, the main focus of the winning parties was state reform, giving more executive power to the regional governments. This would weaken the position of the national government, creating a so called confederal system. The Walloon politicians, long time beneficiaries of Flemish ?financial solidarity’ went into a panic frenzy at the mere suggestion. Consequently sabotaging any negotiations by demanding the impossible – and banking conveniently on the fact NV-A would never agree to these demands, providing them with the perfect scapegoat to keep the sabotage process going – and at the same time turning down any demands made on the Flemish side (where the same game is being played; all’s fair in war and politics), these negotiations went nowhere. State reform was put on the back burner to allow the government to at least put on its game face, pretending to actually govern the country… which it didn’t. War hawk defence minister De Crem (CD&V) sent four (yes, FOUR) F-16 jet fighters to support the U.S. peace winning effort (sic) in Afghanistan and will send logistical forces for the fighters in the form of ground troops. And the finance minister, MR’s head honcho Didier Reynders managed to downplay the rather sizable hole in the budget. And then they went on a holiday, leaving the problem of the state reform in the hands of three royally appointed negotiators.

For some reason, these negotiators were all selected from the francophone political world, up to and including the German speaking minority, represented by their PM Karl-Heinz Lambertz, who took the opportunity to step into the media limelight on behalf of his own community, but did not come up with a solution. Neither did the other Wise Men From The South. Neither gold nor incense or myrrh and certainly no definite proposals to effectively get out of the stalemate. Just rehashed statements, diametrically opposing the agreements made between the representatives on both sides of a regional task force; the next effort for a political deus ex machina to save state reform negotiations, instigated by Flemish PM Kris Peeters (CD&V). To add insult to injury, the aforementioned Didier Reynders, who also happens to be vice PM and god in the deepest of his private thoughts (not quite a stretch for a liberal politician, as you might imagine), said last Friday that a state reform negotiation wouldn’t happen anyway until after the regional election of 2009.

This hardly came as a surprise, since Reynders had made public he was starting to campaign for these elections two weeks ago, thus effectively undermining any decision making power this non-government still had between now and those elections. Not surprisingly, NV-A cried havoc over the weekend and decided by unanimous vote that they had lost their confidence in this government and any attempts at state reform negotiations at their party congress yesterday. It seems September 21st wasn’t only the official day the leaves can start falling; façades are crumbling as well. SP.A, whom so far remained dead silent, licking their wounds while their party leaders were attending the Democratic Convention in the U.S. to see Barack Obama accepting his nomination to run (a delegation of the Flemish liberals VLD were also attending), called for the only NV-A minister in the Flemish government, Geert Bourgeois, to resign, possibly opening the way for them to step from opposition back into power regionally after having suffered a severe defeat nationally last year.

And the outcome is…

Geert Bourgeois did resign today, saying that if the trust in the government isn’t there anymore, the kartel is dead as well, which sent CD&V into a tailspin. They would lose their majority hold both nationally as well as regionally, so understandably they’re saying the kartel isn’t over just yet and they’ll get together with NV-A on Tuesday to pick up the political pieces. Both Flemish and Walloon liberals are shouting out their joy about NV-A ?showing its true colours’, as are the French socialists, but is this really a day of joy? Has the main opposing factor really gone? I’m quite certain this is not the case. FDF is still putting gasoline on the fire by demanding the Flemish suburbs of Brussel to become part of the capital (read : claiming the Flemish region surrounding Brussels as francophone in principle) and not splitting up the electoral region Brussel – Halle – Vilvoorde (which means francophone politicians can’t campaign and get votes in these Flemish suburbs anymore), as mandated by the Belgian Supreme Court, since not splitting the electoral region is unconstitutional. Of course, losing such an electorate potential by splitting the region is a severe blow to the Walloon politicians, not to mention it undermines any claims for usurping the suburbs into the largely francophone Brussel. It’s a political hot potato they are willing to keep dishing up and blatantly ignoring the country’s constitution for.

To my mind, if politicians want their constituents to adhere to the law, they should lead by example. Clearly, when their political power is at stake, they’re willing to ignore that, not surprisingly. When push comes to shove, there is no respect for either the constitution or that part of the Belgian people and their territory that is not their own. So to my mind, it’s not just NV-A who’s been throwing a spanner in the works all this time, well over fifteen months now. The end result of all this political manvoeuvering is a further disintegration of the Belgian nation and constituents on both sides of the language barrier who are growing tired of it all. In the words of the late Jim Morrison : the future’s uncertain and the end is always near…

DR. ARF

Something To Chew On A Saturday Morning

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(source)

ElectoralVote.com has a lovely scenario of what can happen if China wants to cash in on the American nightmare:

Asian countries, especially China, own hundreds of billions of dollars worth of treasury bills. Now suppose the Chinese government decides it wants to get into the car manufacturing business so it makes a deal with Toyota, now the world’s largest car manufacturer, to buy GM outright for a song and move its factories to China to be operated by Toyota but employing Chinese workers. All they keep is the U.S. dealer network and millions of American jobs are lost. If the next President nixes the purchase of GM, the Chinese sell their treasury bills and the dollar collapses.

Could it be that the US administration is going about nationalising most of it financial market to drive out Mid-East and Chinese capital? And could it be that it is actively twidling its thumbs while stocks tumble, to get a better price on the companies it intends to nationalise?

Just a thought….

But the way things are going, you’re soon liable to go out to buy a toaster and it’ll come with a bank….(more here)






In other news:

Outgoing PM Janez Janša filed a suit against against three people because of the Patria affair: The Finnish YLE reporter Magnus Berglund, the author of the programme which claims Janša took a bribe and two people who appeared in the programme: Bojan Potočnik, former Chief of Police (under Janša’s tenure) and former Advisor to the President, last seen running for MP on LDS ticket and Milan Švajger, CEO of Sistemska tehnika, the company that lost the tender for APCs.

About effing time, he did. Just too bad he’s probably aiming at case being dropped as soon as he leaves the office. Janša filed a suit as PM, and since he will cease being one soon enough, he will probably lose legal interest and the case will be dropped.

While he will rant on about how he was denied justice…

Georgian- Russian War

This new Georgian-Russian war puzzles me. I mean, I’m not really puzzled by the fact that it started, or why it started (there’s a short Q&A by the Beeb, if you need basic info), but rather by how it started. From what I understand it was Georgia which started serious military operations, presumably aimed at subjugating South Ossetia. What I don’t understands is, what exactly was Georgian leadership (especially President Mikheil Saakashvili) thinking.

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Mikheil Saakashvili caught on BBC camera running for cover (source)

I can imagine that it is not easy for Georgia and its leadership to live in Russia’s shadow and in what Moscow clearly identifies as its sphere of influence. Spheres of influence are an ugly 19th-century concept which has contributed vastly to the outbreak of both World Wars, was institutionalised during the Cold War as a “bi-polar world” and was thought to have died away in the nineties with the emergence of the New World Order (courtesy George Bush, sr.). The hard reality, however, is that it has not died away and that as Russia is getting back on its feet, the pendulum is swinging backwards from where it came and that the dynamic balance of powers is shifting yet again.

However laden with local colour and animosities, the Georgian-Russian war is not just about territory, historical rights and wrongs and bringing the former Soviet republic back under the flap of Mother Russia. This has to do with Georgia’s aim to enter NATO and gain leverage against Russia.

Namely: Georgia almost got an invitation to NATO months ago, but didn’t. Hoever, it would seem that the very prospect of being encircled by NATO is making Moscow very nervous. Until now, however, Russia played ball, although Vlad Putin and his protegee Dmitri Medvedev have increasingly been making noises about how things cannot be allowed to go on like that. Hoever, to date all Russina activity has been limited to diplomatic and/or economic areas. The US (with a little help from the EU) has driven a hard bargain against the Russians, enabling NATO to establish itself along stretches of Russian border (the Baltic, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, most notably Afghanistan). But Caucus was apparently seen as too risky even for some NATO members as German Chancellor Angela Merkel put Georgian NATO membership on ice. Add to that the fact that NATO as a whole and the US especially lost most of its detterant-power in the Iraq fiasco, Russia saw a window of opportunity to stem the tide of Western influence running along its borders all the way to China.

But reality on the ground is such, that Russia seems to be aiming for a complete victory. Military and probably otherwise as well. According to latest reports is it isolating Georgian capital Tbilisi, probably trying to have President Saakashvili replaced (softcore version) or arrest him (hardcore version) – not unlike what the United States did in Iraq. Moreover, since the US launched an unlawful aggression against a sovereign state in 2003 it has little moral ground to point the finger at Russia, which today is doing the exact same thing.

Moral of the story (if one can use that particular word at all): international laws apply to some countries more than they apply to the others. But that’s nothing new, is it? And that is why one wonders what Mikheil Saakashvili was thinking when he launched an attack against South Ossetia days ago. Oh, and scenes of him running for cover don’t look to good either…

EDIT@1230 CET: According to the BBC, Russian president Dmitri Medvedev ordered “an end to Georgia operation”. Is this is, or is it merely a tactical ploy?

Radovan Karadžić Arrested. Finally!

This just in: According to various news reports, Radovan Karadžić, one of Europe’s most wanted men, directly responsible for genocide of Bosnian Muslims in Bosnia-Hercegovina during the 1993-95 war was arrested in Serbia hours ago.

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Bosnian Serb general Ratko Mladic and their political leader Radovan Karadžić (source)

The arrest was confirmed by the office of the President of Serbia Boris Tadić, without giving details. I imagine this is a high-risk game for Serbian leadership as Karadžić and general Ratko Mladić (who remains at large) have quite a following in Serbia and Republic of Srbska in Bosnia-Herzegovina. Hopefuly Serbian President Boris Tadić will fare better than the late Zoran Djindjić.

Perhaprs, just perhaps, the wars of Yugoslavia will finally be brought to an end.

EDIT: Reactions from: Belgrade 2.0 (Serbia), Zapisi (Serbia – in cyrilic), Duh koji hoda (Bosnia), Na putu u nepoznato (Bosnia), Comments From Left Field (USA) (JBlog Central (Israel)

Laura Non C’e

Today’s post is not strictly politics, but as it relates to yesterday’s pit stop by George, Jr. I hope you’ll forgive me. The lighter side of presidential summits can sometimes be quite intreaguing and almost funny. In absense of any real news, the government PR people have released the summit menu, for guys and gals alike. Therefore you can sleep in peace knowing that George, Janez and Jose yesterday had Istrian proscutto with green asparagi and was able to wash it down with a glass of Rebula white wine, but…. C’mon, people! George is a reformed alcocholic! He shouldn’t be allowed within 50 feet of a bottle! Ferfuckssake! What were you thinking! George and wine make for a bad time :mrgreen:

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The Prez and The Other Prez put their glasses on to read the fine print of the first Slovene Bible (photo: BOBO)

But at least the presents were chosen a bit more carefully. JJ gave the man a state-of-the-art mountain bike which go for a nifty 4k euros a piece which will surely come in handy when George will be doing circles at his Crawford ranch. And when he’s not herding cows, giving speeches or whatever it is former presidents with a ranch do, he’ll be able to contemplate reading a facsimile of the first Holy Bible in Slovene language printed in 1584 by Slovenian protestant intelectual Jurij Dalmatin, which – in all honesty – is quite a beautiful present. It would, however, be even more appropriate if the man were presented with a fascimile of Catechism or Abecedarium by Primož Trubar, the first and second book in Slovene language ever (1550s), especially because Slovenia celebrated 500 years since Trubar’s birth only a day earlier. Wouldn’t that be something? You just threw a big party for the first ever book in your language and the Big Kahuna misses the show by a couple of hours, but you are still able to present him with a copy of your object of celebration. Apparently not all the dogs are barking at the Protocol of the Republic of Slovenia.

But OK, enough bitching and smartassing about it. The guy and his woman were here, they talked the talk and walked the walk. And how did the whole thing look like at street level? Here’s Laura Bush’s motorcade in downtown Ljubljana as shot by yours truly yesterday morning. With a bit of a musical background, naturally 🙂