Coup d’Etat

the pala vas Coup dEtat
Poster for a ficticious Slovene political thriller -> click to enlarge
(source: Oskar magazine, not published anymore)


The other day I was raving about unexplained high-level break-ins and also promised lisa to post something on some rather freaky events in this country’s short history. Namely, I submit to you that we’ve witnessed two attempted coup d’etats in this country.


————————–
DISCLAIMER (yes, this is so sensitive that I have to write a disclaimer first):
The subject is highly volitaile and involves a number of high-level officials, some of whom are still in office. At least one of the two events described below is still subject to a heated debate, both in terms of the actual chain of events as the reasons behind it. It is also considered a turning point for Slovene democracy by some, while brushed aside as just another dirty ploy by others. The views expressed here are my own. I will supply as much backgroud information as possible but not at the expence of making a point. I will also provide the logic of my line of thought, which is admittedly based on some (in my opinion) sound general principles, rather than a particular decision of what is right and what is wrong.

————————–


BACKGROUND


One of the reasons Slovenia increasingly sought its future outside Yugoslavia in late 80s was the fact that Yugoslav Army, although federal in name, was a centralised institution unto itself, accountable to noone. The Army was not to be questioned, its position not undermined or otherwise diminished – quite the opposite. With the death of Josip Broz Tito, the Yugoslav Army considered itself the only true interpreter of Tito’s legacy. This clashed heavily with the (con)feredalist nature of Yugoslavia at the time when the six republics were increasingly growing apart and drove especially Slovenes to frown upon the Yugoslav Army.

The last straw to have broken the camel’s back was the JBTZ scandal, which propelled Janez Janša to forefront as one of the symbols of Slovenes yearning (and only three years later fighting) for independence. While Janša represented the New Order, Milan Kučan represented continuity and a guarantee that the break will be as painless as possible. At the time Kučan was the president of the Central Committee of the Leauge of Communists of Slovenia – basically one of the top dogs of the period, although not the only one. Janša goes on the become the archetipical anti-communist post-cold-war politician and was named Minister of defence in 1990, when the first multi-party elections were held in Slovenia. On that same election Kučan was elected president by a popular vote and the two men were forced to work together if independence was to be achieved.


DEPALA VAS


Fast forward to 1994. Defence Minister Janez Janša is at the height of his power, his aureola as the winner of the war of independence elevating him at least to a status of a lesser-diety in the eyes of many. He and his trusted aides go about creating a proper Slovene Army, with a special operations unit at its core. The members of this unit were creme de la creme of Slovene armed forces, with the best equipement and the best training. The problem of course was that they were much more loyal to their creator – Janez Janša and his close aides, than to their Commander-in-Chief – President of the Republic of Slovenia, Milan Kučan.

With a special operations unit at one side and army inteligence on the other side, Janša was increasingly holding power vastly disproportionate to his ministerial post. Although formally accountable to the parliament, he was untouchable and considered on a par with Kučan, both in terms of political power and popularity. The army (his army) was becoming an institution unto itself and considered itself (with Janša at its helm) as the only true interpreter of Slovenian statehood. Janša and Slovenian army were – in a nutshell – getting out of control. It was a perfect setting for an inter-agency showdown, as the civilian secret service planted an agent within the military secret service. His cover was blown and military inteligence fed him forged documents which claimed that a coup d’etat was being prepaired by a clique within the Ministry of Defence.

The trick of course is that a coup d’etat was indeed being prepaired should civilian authorities panic and wanted to arrest or detain the main players. Live ammunition was being handed out to trusted military personel, troops were being flown to outskirts of Ljubljana and several garrisons were put on alert. It was a plan – just not the plan outlined in the forged documents. Why forged documents? Janša was hoping that civilian authorities – led by Milan Kučan – would cry “wolf!”, upon which he (Janša) could prove that the documents were forged, expose the agent and humiliate Kučan, who would probably have to resing his post, putting Janša and Slovene army beyond actual control by any instutition whatsoever.

It was in fact a question of who controls the armed forces – does the task fall to the civilian authorities (the parliament and the President), or is the Army accountable only to itself. Given the Wikipedia definition, the above is a text-book definition of a coup d’etat.


ELECTIONS 2000


After Janša was ousted as defence minister following “Depala vas” affair, he came up with a ploy after a ploy on how to gain power. He and his party proposed a referendum on changes of the voting system in 1996. At the time Slovenia sported a heavily proportional electoral system, whereas Janša proposed a majoritarian system, the idea being that he’d cut himself a shortcut to parliamentary victory as the voting districts would have to be entirely redrawn and possibly quite gerrymandered in his favour.

The referendum failed, also because Janša’s opponents formed two counter-proposals, and for the first time Slovenia held a three-question referendum. To have been adopted, the proposal must have achieved an absolute majority of the votes cast. Not impossible, but highly improbable with as the votes split three ways instead of the usual two. Of course his attempt failed and Janša cried foul and had in my opinion – once for a change – every reason to do so. But that is somewat beside the point…

Fast forward to spring of 2000. The government of Janez Drnovšek colapses, as the centre-right SLS withdraws its support. The party forms a coalition with Janša’s SDS and little known Andrej Bajuk is appointed Prime Minister of Slovenia. Almost instantly the Constitutional court – against all odds – rules that the results of the ’96 referendum were misinterpreted and declares that the majoritarian system won, although it got only 44 percent of the vote.

The Government of Andrej Bajuk (with Janša as Defence minister again) swiftly declares that a new law must be passed immediately, as the decision of the constitutional court voided the validity of the current electoral system and if none is passed to replace it, elections will have to be postponed (while every pre-law student know that old law is valid until a new one is passed, unless the old one is repealed by the parliament)

Postponing elections – a classic attempt at a coup d’etat. First it’s just for a couple of weeks, then months, then a year and soon you don’t need elections anymore, for you have a perpetual government, wihch always knows what is best for its people.

Luckily, the same SLS which so uwisely brought down Drnovšek had enough wisdom to see what was going on (mostly that they would lose parliamentary seats with the new system) and started working hard towards amending the Constitution of Slovenia with electoral system becoming a part of the constitution, thus superceeding any decision taken on a referendum.


CONCLUSION


Well, there you have it. It may seem nothing, but I think that civilian control over armed forces and regular elections are pillars of a stable democracy. If either of the two is not there, the country becomes a Banana republic. It almost happened twice in Slovenia. And Der Führer was there on both occasions. That is why the recent unexplained thefts make me extremely nervous. It is possible that there is some shit brewing?


20 Comments to “Coup d’Etat”

  1. Disablez Says:

    Thank you for the translation.
    Definitely some nice manure is brewing in the cauldron… and lunchtime is approaching.
    Just make us a favor and don’t get close to any polonium…

  2. alcessa Says:

    Luckily, shit has the natural tendency to hit the fan, in most cases.

    I’ll be checking your blog tomorrow, too :-D

  3. ARF Says:

    If revolution breaks out next week, at least I’ll be there to supply the beer… Seriously, let’s hope it actually is nothing, but given the recent history lesson you just supplied us with, eyes need to remain open…

  4. pengovsky Says:

    No polonium, I promise! :) But it does help to keep the eyes open, because when shit does hit the fan, people will run for cover and it’ll be interesting to see who ducks first.

    Then again it could be that nothing will happen and I’ll be written off as just another raving lunatic blogging…

  5. pengovsky Says:

    ARF: One of the known medical benefits of Kasteelbier is that it calms paranoia, no? ;)

  6. lisa Says:

    Wow, Pengovsky, thanks for the write up on the political intrigue. I second Alcessa in requesting that you keep posting frequently! If for no other reason than excellent posts like this one.

  7. ARF Says:

    It sure does, P, it sure does… ;) Meanwhile, I third Alcessa and Lisa : keep the info coming!

  8. pengovsky Says:

    @lisa: My pleasure and thanks for the link :) I’ll try to provide some more interesting posts – there’s plenty of material available.

    As far as the above post is concerned: Noone is (publicly at least) treating the two incidents as an attempted coup d’etat. There seems to be the “don’t-use-that-word” kind of mentality among the political elite, both left and right.

    You’ll hear all kinds of terms: overstepping the boundary, abuse of power, bringing pressure to bear, political intrigue, etc., but no single Slovenian politician will ever admit that we were on a brink twice – as if people would think less of them if they admitted they’re fallible.

    The trick of course is that people already know that politicans are fallible, moreover they even think that they’re inept – although in my proffesional opinion the elite is far from inept: it can be terrifyingly efficient.

    @ARF: Will do – in person, as well, if I’m not mistaken ;)

  9. ARF Says:

    Yup, a week from today me and my best friend will take control over a small appartment in the LJ center. I’ll mail you with the details soon!

  10. pengovsky Says:

    Yeey! :D It looks like a demanding time already :)

  11. SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY » Blog Archives » So What ?!? Says:

    […] The infamous Depala vas scandal in 1994 (and the attempted coup d’etat) centred about a set of forged secret and possibly unconstitutional military orders. Janez Janša – at the time defence minister – controled military intelligence service (VOMO) which was locked into an interagency fight with civilian secret service VIS (SOVA’s predecessor). […]

  12. SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY » Blog Archives » Children of the Revolution Says:

    […] We have just witnessed the begining of an end of JJ. This will most likely not bring him down. But it is a bad omen for the future. Other challengers and challenges will follow. And Janša will have an increasingly tough time fending them off *please take note of this post for refferences to Depala Vas affair, and also of this post for reffrences to influence of politics and economy on one another […]

  13. Did Janša Try To Plant Forged Documents In Patria Affair? | SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY Says:

    […] explain, we have to refresh our memories vis-a-vis an event which politically shaped Janez Janša. Depala Vas Affair. To cut a long story short, Janez Janša (back then the immensely popular and powerful defence […]

  14. Echoes of the Past | SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY Says:

    […] the late PM Janez Drnovšek proposed demission of then-defence-minister Janša in 1994 over the Depala Vas Affair, thousands poured to the streets in his support, some sporting pitchforks and shovels. Janša was […]

  15. Patria Endgame Approaches | SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY Says:

    […] indictments against Janša and his collaborators, be it in the arms trafficking allegations, or the Depala Vas affair. She also ran for president on SDS ticket in 2002, losing to Janez Drnovšek in the second […]

  16. LDS. Liberal Democrats Sulking. | SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY Says:

    […] men showed way back in the 90’s when she – then as a district attorney – closed the case on Depala vas and arms dealing, effectively letting Janša off the hook and contributing to the fact that these […]

  17. With Patria to Prison. Possibly. | SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY Says:

    […] with her role being primarily to keep the man out of hot water, not unlike she did with the Depala Vas affair. However, she did nothing to impede the Patria investigation. She could have relieved Zobec Hrastar […]

  18. Second Republic Revisited | SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY Says:

    […] III. Obviously, I’m not saying Janša wants to perform a coup d’etat (we’re past that, methinks), but there could be an echo of the subconscious […]

  19. Documents Sexed-Up For Dramatic Puroposes | SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY Says:

    […] a glorious period during the war of independence in 1991 things only got worse. In 1994, during an attempted coup d’etat, army intelligence service loyal to Janša tried to plant forged documents and use them as pretext […]

  20. Creative Photocopying Leads To Creative Interpretation | SLEEPING WITH PENGOVSKY Says:

    […] I mean what-the-fuck-long. Ten pages of, well, the shit. It’s got everything: communism, Depala vas, arms deals, persecution, revolution, political intrigue, power struggle, secret services, media […]

Search